Loading Please wait, logging in.
Join ALFA Member Login RSS Feed
Tagline Image
Bookmark and Share  

Massive Caregiver Shortage Expected in Coming Decades

While many seniors today rely on assistance from their adult children and other relatives, the number of potential caregivers in the US is expected to plummet in the next 20 years, just when the oldest Baby Boomers begin to reach their 80s.

The report, released Monday by the AARP Public Policy Institute, examined the ratio of potential caregivers to seniors aged 80 and older in order to calculate the availability of family caregivers during the upcoming decades. The authors defined “caregiver support ratio” as the number of potential caregivers aged 45–64 for each person aged 80 and older. According to the authors, about 14 percent of these potential caregivers currently provide care for someone 80 or older, 9 percent care for someone 60 to 79, and 7 percent care for someone 18 to 59.

 In 2010, the caregiver support ratio was more than 7.2 potential caregivers for each senior over the age of 80. By 2030, the caregiver support ratio drops precipitously to 4.1 to 1. In 2050, when all of the Baby Boomer generation will be past their 80th birthday, the caregiver support ratio declines even further to a ratio of 2.9 to 1.

“More than two-thirds of Americans believe they will be able to rely on their families to meet their needs when they need long-term care,” said Lynn Feinberg, AARP senior policy analyst and one of the report’s authors. “But this confidence is likely to deflate when it collides with the dramatically shrinking availability of family caregivers in the future.”

The impending “Silver Tsunami,” the growing Alzheimer’s epidemic, and the future dearth of potential caregivers all point to an obvious increased need for long-term care services in America. The Commission on Long-Term Care is expected to consider all of these factors as they prepare to issue a report outlining policy recommendations in September.

Read the full report: The Aging of the Baby Boom and the Growing Care Gap: A Look at Future Declines in the Availability of Family Caregivers.    



Suggested Articles:

7/21/2016
The Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services has proposed changes to the way it pays for primary care with a focus on care management and behavioral a...
7/21/2016
Clinical Quality and Quality Care Delivery, Facts and Figures, Memory Care Best Practices and Research, Memory Care Education, News, Reports, Research
A gene variant whose carriers are more likely to develop Alzheimer’s disease than other people may show its effects on the brain and thinking in child...
7/21/2016
Consumer Funding Resources, Facts and Figures, Financing Senior Living – Consumer Education, Health Care, Long Term Care Insurance, Long Term Care Insurance Education, News, Research
Total health spending growth is expected to average 5.8 percent annually from 2015 to 2025, but is at a lower growth rate that the previous two decade...
7/7/2016
All States, Community Awareness and Education, Consumer Intelligence, Core Principles, Engage, Facts and Figures, Growth Strategies, Membership, News, Policy in the States, Research, Senior Living Options, Strategy
Rhode Island has released a new plan designed to enable the state’s growing population of older adults to safely remain living at home and in communit...
7/7/2016
Advocacy, Community Awareness and Education, Core Principles, Engage, Facts and Figures, Memory Care Best Practices and Research, News, Research, Resident and Family Services
The latest draft bill from the House Appropriations Committee for funding programs in fiscal 2017 includes $73.2 billion for the Health and Human Serv...
08/27/2013


Additional Resources